Number 61 » NY http://number61.net by Matthew Gipp Mon, 07 May 2012 14:04:06 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 I May Be a Screwup, But At Least I’m Not a Sellout http://number61.net/2009/11/i-may-be-a-screwup http://number61.net/2009/11/i-may-be-a-screwup#comments Thu, 12 Nov 2009 04:17:22 +0000 Matthew Gipp http://number61.net/?p=3267 Gov. David Paterson settled on an interesting campaign message, as seen on this television spot (and this one).

I’m just worried that New York voters aren’t in the mood for nuance—no matter how technically correct it may be.

]]> http://number61.net/2009/11/i-may-be-a-screwup/feed 0 The NY-23 Rundown http://number61.net/2009/11/the-ny-23-rundown http://number61.net/2009/11/the-ny-23-rundown#comments Wed, 04 Nov 2009 12:58:05 +0000 Matthew Gipp http://number61.net/?p=2801 Congrats, Bill Owens! May your career of meddling with your own party’s agenda be long and fruitless.

Check out this map of NY-23 from The Swing Vote Project. It helps you get some perspective on how unlikely this was:

ny23historicalmap

An interesting note: based on Nate Silver’s analysis, Owens seems to have carried all three of those pink counties.

NY23

So this wasn’t a really situation where more liberal-leaning counties dragged the rest along. As a matter of fact, it seems like Owens performs better the farther North you go. Which couldn’t be further away from my own forecast.

It will be interesting to see where the stragglers fall in line.

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